The full-length interview with Elon Musk
Elon Musk 完全インタビュー · 共読ノート

I would expect artificial intelligence to be far greater than the sum of human intelligence, like far greater

There really won't be anything that AI can't do better than humans, apart from being human

I do think it's going to be a bumpy road because AI will be able to do any job better than any person can do that job

It'll get to what I call Stockfish level

I think work is going to be optional

They'll, you know, look a little artisanal

If you go to a friend's house and they make dinner with vegetables from their garden, it's a nice touch

You can really think of the economy as digital and physical intelligence

It doesn't have end effectors

You need the end effectors in the form of humanoid robotics

You can go from intelligence manifesting itself only digitally to shaping atoms

The robot is more or less an end effector. It would have some amount of local intelligence, but be managed by a large AI model

An economy is the production of goods and provision of services

If you have vast numbers of robots with vast amounts of digital intelligence, you have sort of a quasi infinite economy

The most likely outcome is an age of amazing abundance, where anyone can have anything they can think of

Assuming that there's not World War III, I think we're headed for an age of amazing abundance

There's no analogy or metaphor that I think illustrates the magnitude of change that we're going to experience here

The current constraint is electricity outside of China. In China, the constraint is chips

Once we address the power constraint with AI data centers in space, then the constraint will once again be chips outside of China

You said there was a 10% to 20% chance of killer robots wiping out humanity

There's risk associated with AI and robots, it's not 0

Even if there were a stop button, we probably shouldn't press it, because the most likely outcome is incredible abundance for all

It's inevitable

If the heat death of the universe is in fact the outcome for our reality, then it really is all about the journey, because the destination is terrible

It would be an exercise in vanity for me to think that I would be controlling a super-genius AI that is vastly smarter than me

If the difference in intelligence between AI and humans is vastly greater than the difference in intelligence between humans and chimpanzees, it's hard to imagine that chimpanzees would be in charge

Anthropic spun out of OpenAI

You can just sort of be sad about it or join the club, I suppose

Anthropic had Mythos, from which Fable is derived

They almost certainly have—not almost certainly, they certainly have—it right now

I think they could release it at any time

I would recommend that we at least have some sort of informal weekly or biweekly call

There's maybe a week or two of early access by competitors

I think they should have that power. But it wasn't as though someone in the government figured out that Mythos had some scary cybersecurity risks. It was Amazon

You don't all like each other very much, but you're also competing, right? You all want to be first

Wouldn't Sam Altman just think you're going to nick all his ideas if you did that?

When there seems to be so much personal vitriol between some of these leaders?

No one has set off my evil detector

They always seem like they're well-intentioned

There are a few well-intentioned paving stones in there, so we don't want to be complacent